Wisconsin Discount Properties

Case Studies & ARV Accuracy

*119 verified post-WDP resales | No qualifying verified comparisons excluded
$244,403
Average WDP ARV
$247,555
Average Actual Resale Price
$3,151 above the average WDP ARV
72.3%
Resales Within 10% of WDP ARV
86 of 119 verified comparisons
Flip

124 Elm Ave

May 2025

Winning Offer: $117,100
Rehab Costs: $17,000
Financing Costs: $4,000
Sold on MLS Price: $215,000
All-In Cost: $140,600
Profit (after all expenses): $62,644
Flip

727 1st St

Apr 2026

Winning Offer: $185,000
Rehab Costs: $24,200 Rehab Breakdown
  • Roof: $8,600
  • Window wrapping: $3,600
  • LVP flooring: $1,500
  • Interior paint: $4,000
  • Electrical fixtures: $1,000
  • Cleaning and cleanout: $2,000
  • Miscellaneous: $3,500
Financing Costs: $2,000
Sold on MLS Price: $250,000
All-In Cost: $215,512.50
Profit (after all expenses) $26,362
Flip

985 Higgins Ave

July 2025

Winning Offer: $127,000
Rehab Costs: $30,000
Financing Costs: $3,000
Sold on MLS Price: $222,500
All-In Cost: $163,587.50
Profit (after all expenses) $46,912
Flip

3040 Sheldon Dr

May 2026

Winning Offer: $220,000
Rehab Costs: $6,650 Rehab Breakdown
  • Cleanout: $1,500
  • Paint and trim: $3,500
  • Cabinet and flooring: $1,200
  • Garage door: $450
Financing Costs: $2,000
Sold on MLS Price: $277,000
All-In Cost: $232,557
Profit (aft. all expenses) $33,506
Flip

1024 Rockdale St

Feb 2024

Winning Offer: $152,222
Rehab Costs: $41,000
Financing Costs: $17,000
Sold on MLS Price: $265,000
All-In Cost: $197,247
Profit (after all expenses): $57,153
Flip

918 Buchholz St

Dec 2024

Winning Offer: $127,000
Rehab Costs: $23,000
Financing Costs: $9,273
Sold on MLS Price: $194,900
All-In Cost: $162,243
Profit (aft. all expenses) $23,887
BRRRR

1150 Cherry St

Mar 2024

Winning Offer: $149,900
Rehab Costs: $65,000
Financing Costs: $17,000
All-In Price: $237,125
Appraisal: $317,000
Money Left in Deal: -$625.00
BRRRR

828 N Chestnut

Dec 2024

Winning Offer: $225,900
Rehab Costs: $0
Financing Costs: $0
All-In Price: $228,900
Appraisal: $320,000
Money Left in Deal: -$8,900.00

How Accurate Are Our ARVs?

We compared WDP's projected ARV with the verified resale price for 119 properties. To keep the results practical, an estimate is considered on target when the resale is within 10% of the WDP ARV.

Results Using a ±10% Accuracy Range
72.3%86 On TargetActual resale was within 10% of the WDP ARV.
18.5%22 WDP ARVs LowActual resale was more than 10% above the WDP ARV.
9.2%11 WDP ARVs HighActual resale was more than 10% below the WDP ARV.

*Verified post-WDP resales only. Rentals, non-flips, same-price transfers, and unverified records are excluded. “On target” means the actual resale price was no more than 10% above or below WDP's projected ARV. Past results do not guarantee the outcome of a future investment.

How Our ARVs Perform by Market

This graph shows the average difference between WDP’s projected ARV and the property’s actual resale price. Longer bars represent larger average differences, while the comparison count shows how much verified data supports each result.

+$3,151 Average Resale Above WDP ARV
72.3% All Properties Within 10%
119 Total Verified Comparisons
WDP estimated high WDP estimated low
Market Average Difference From WDP ARV Difference Comparisons
Shawano/Oconto 7 comparisons
+$14,414
7
Central / Waupaca 9 comparisons
+$10,533
9
Fox Cities 33 comparisons
+$6,791
33
Green Bay 26 comparisons
−$742
26
Manitowoc / Two Rivers 13 comparisons
−$2,354
13
North Woods / Central 5 comparisons
+$20,100
5
Oshkosh 10 comparisons
+$5,500
10
Other Markets 6 comparisons
−$200
6
Green Bay 88.5% within 10% across 26 comparisons
Fox Cities 69.7% within 10% across 33 comparisons
119 Total Verified comparisons in the complete analysis

*Only markets with four or more verified comparisons are shown. Positive differences mean the average actual resale was higher than WDP’s projected ARV. Negative differences mean the average WDP ARV was higher. Market results with fewer comparisons should be interpreted more cautiously. “Other Markets” combines properties outside the specifically identified market groups.

Full List of Verified Resales

All 119 verified comparisons included in the WDP ARV accuracy analysis.

Property Address
WDP ARV
Sold For
1223 Guns Rd, Green Bay1223 Guns Rd
$335,000
$320,000
1242 Shawano Ave, Green Bay1242 Shawano Ave
$235,000
$225,000
3040 Sheldon Dr, Oshkosh3040 Sheldon Dr
$265,000
$277,000
1501 15th Ave, Menominee, MI1501 15th Ave
$175,000
$167,000
855 Appleton St, Menasha855 Appleton St
$255,000
$250,000
1211 Randolph St, Watertown1211 Randolph St
$210,000
$217,000
2209 S 14th St, Manitowoc2209 S 14th St
$235,000
$215,000
5985 Indian Shore Rd, Winneconne5985 Indian Shore Rd
$290,000
$235,000
721 Terrace Ave, Marinette721 Terrace Ave
$140,000
$184,000
N9598 Cottage Ln, WausaukeeN9598 Cottage Ln
$225,000
$263,500
1408 Witzel Ave, Oshkosh1408 Witzel Ave
$220,000
$235,000
229 Bacon Ave, Oshkosh229 Bacon Ave
$200,000
$225,000
146 N Clinton Ave, Clintonville146 N Clinton Ave
$200,000
$220,000
1280 Desnoyers St, Green Bay1280 Desnoyers St
$220,000
$244,000
427 Robbins St, Seymour427 Robbins St
$215,000
$229,900
410 E Franklin Ave, Neenah410 E Franklin Ave
$240,000
$225,000
811 Division St, Wausaukee811 Division St
$200,000
$215,000
1214 S Roosevelt St, Green Bay1214 S Roosevelt St
$290,000
$247,000
413 Douglas St, New London413 Douglas St
$225,000
$217,900
1320 N Ave, Crivitz1320 N Ave
$185,000
$200,000
1 Ginger Ct, Clintonville1 Ginger Ct
$160,000
$180,000
N5954 Parkway Rd, BeaverN5954 Parkway Rd
$220,000
$245,000
126 Yale St, Green Bay126 Yale St
$235,000
$245,000
W9756 Wisconsin 96, DaleW9756 Wisconsin 96
$190,000
$189,900
308 Durrell St, Bear Creek308 Durrell St
$230,000
$260,000
1245 S Irwin Ave, Allouez1245 S Irwin Ave
$260,000
$270,000
630 Lee St, Seymour630 Lee St
$280,000
$285,000
1909 N Division St, Appleton1909 N Division St
$235,000
$245,000
5930 Rosewood Dr, Appleton5930 Rosewood Dr
$310,000
$319,900
521 S Clay St, Green Bay521 S Clay St
$250,000
$265,000
1302 S 12th St, Manitowoc1302 S 12th St
$200,000
$168,000
51 Wilson St, Clintonville51 Wilson St
$155,000
$155,000
204 W Lake St, Stockbridge204 W Lake St
$240,000
$219,900
528 Madison St, Reedsville528 Madison St
$190,000
$197,000
7721 Evergreen Dr, Waupaca7721 Evergreen Dr
$310,000
$320,000
917 Adams St, Neenah917 Adams St
$280,000
$225,000
1735 E Mason St, Green Bay1735 E Mason St
$230,000
$210,000
2934 43rd St, Two Rivers2934 43rd St
$300,000
$290,000
317 Main St, Sheboygan Falls317 Main St
$220,000
$200,000
W4581 W Buss Dr, CecilW4581 W Buss Dr
$310,000
$401,000
2131 Doran St, Oconto2131 Doran St
$255,000
$275,000
333 Grandview Ave, Menasha333 Grandview Ave
$235,000
$218,000
N5438 Lower Rd, ShioctonN5438 Lower Rd
$360,000
$345,000
920 Hoffman St, Gresham920 Hoffman St
$290,000
$265,000
36 Apache St, Appleton36 Apache St
$400,000
$395,100
409 Easy St, Green Bay409 Easy St
$300,000
$285,000
N4015 N 9th Rd, PoundN4015 N 9th Rd
$300,000
$327,000
108 N Winnebago St, De Pere108 N Winnebago St
$275,000
$289,900
7836 Washington St, Rapid River, Michigan7836 Washington St
$165,000
$164,900
833 Blesch Pl, Green Bay833 Blesch Pl
$240,000
$232,500
418 Smith Ave, Oconto418 Smith Ave
$220,000
$249,900
703 Thrush St, Green Bay703 Thrush St
$285,000
$291,000
719 N Ashland Ave, Green Bay719 N Ashland Ave
$235,000
$205,000
219 S Maple Ave, Oconto219 S Maple Ave
$190,000
$185,000
8114 Vanabel St, Kaukauna8114 Vanabel St
$350,000
$380,000
3136 Libal St, Allouez3136 Libal St
$335,000
$342,000
901 9th St, Menasha901 9th St
$230,000
$220,000
119 W 13th St, Kaukauna119 W 13th St
$290,000
$314,900
338 River Dr, Appleton338 River Dr
$275,000
$306,000
1105 Fremont St, Algoma1105 Fremont St
$200,000
$222,500
310 S Clay St, Green Bay310 S Clay St
$210,000
$227,000
1119 W Bent Ave, Oshkosh1119 W Bent Ave
$185,000
$194,000
400 S Outagamie St, Appleton400 S Outagamie St
$210,000
$230,000
540 W 10th Ave, Oshkosh540 W 10th Ave
$180,000
$163,000
1306 E Forest Ave, Neenah1306 E Forest Ave
$315,000
$341,000
727 1st St, Menasha727 1st St
$240,000
$250,000
405 2nd St, Neenah405 2nd St
$270,000
$259,900
744 Green Valley Ave, Allouez744 Green Valley Ave
$320,000
$315,000
1122 S 22nd St, Manitowoc1122 S 22nd St
$189,000
$190,000
1235 W Frances St, Appleton1235 W Frances St
$315,000
$300,000
706 Lincoln St, Neenah706 Lincoln St
$315,000
$350,000
3525 S 19th St, Milwaukee3525 S 19th St
$265,000
$287,500
609 5th St, Oconto609 5th St
$145,000
$155,000
2688 Nicolet Dr, Green Bay2688 Nicolet Dr
$400,000
$398,000
2564 Landler St, Howard2564 Landler St
$300,000
$310,000
918 Buchholz St, Two Rivers918 Buchholz St
$200,000
$194,900
1604 Dousman St, Green Bay1604 Dousman St
$230,000
$236,000
711 N 5th St, Manitowoc711 N 5th St
$160,000
$204,500
1118 Bartelt St, Gresham1118 Bartelt St
$110,000
$90,000
634 Memory Ave, Allouez634 Memory Ave
$250,000
$248,500
109 Mayer St, Neenah109 Mayer St
$145,000
$180,000
509 E Irving Ave, Oshkosh509 E Irving Ave
$165,000
$197,000
1024 W Lindbergh St, Appleton1024 W Lindbergh St
$225,000
$240,000
95 Dodge St, Clintonville95 Dodge St
$130,000
$163,000
359 N State St, Chilton359 N State St
$215,000
$205,000
4381 Highway 57, Sevastopol4381 Highway 57
$450,000
$315,000
809 W Bell Ave, Appleton809 W Bell Ave
$205,000
$230,000
W9173 W 10th Rd, PoundW9173 W 10th Rd
$235,000
$240,000
1901 N Alexander St, Appleton1901 N Alexander St
$230,000
$215,000
228 N State St, Chilton228 N State St
$185,000
$180,000
4585 Schuster Dr, Darton (West Bend)4585 Schuster Dr
$450,000
$425,000
1026 W 8th St, Appleton1026 W 8th St
$200,000
$244,900
225 Gruenwald Ave, Neenah225 Gruenwald Ave
$200,000
$203,000
1000 Elmore St, Green Bay1000 Elmore St
$245,000
$224,000
2345 Hamilton St, Oshkosh2345 Hamilton St
$225,000
$200,000
1307 Hawthorne Ave, Two Rivers1307 Hawthorne Ave
$185,000
$179,000
147 W S Park Ave, Oshkosh147 W S Park Ave
$160,000
$150,000
934 Marquette St, Menasha934 Marquette St
$225,000
$282,000
1121 S 18th St, Manitowoc1121 S 18th St
$180,000
$195,000
2890 Nekimi Ave, Oshkosh2890 Nekimi Ave
$330,000
$399,000
1306 Myrtle St, Marinette1306 Myrtle St
$180,000
$169,900
408 10th St, Neenah408 10th St
$275,000
$295,000
644 S 17th Ave, West Bend644 S 17th Ave
$300,000
$290,400
812 N Clark St, Appleton812 N Clark St
$200,000
$225,000
214 S Main St, Kimberly214 S Main St
$250,000
$260,000
241 Main St, Clintonville241 Main St
$210,000
$183,900
420 S St Bernard Dr, De Pere420 S St Bernard Dr
$325,000
$340,900
29 Hillock Ct, Appleton29 Hillock Ct
$350,000
$310,000
411 Cook St, De Pere411 Cook St
$325,000
$305,000
W7536 White River Trl, WautomaW7536 White River Trl
$185,000
$200,000
1307 Minnesota Ave, North Fond Du Lac1307 Minnesota Ave
$240,000
$244,000
1827 Randolph Avenue, New Holstein1827 Randolph Avenue
$220,000
$200,000
985 Higgins Ave, Neenah985 Higgins Ave
$190,000
$222,500
412 E Lincoln Ave, Little Chute412 E Lincoln Ave
$290,000
$287,000
837 Nicolet Ave, Green Bay, WI837 Nicolet Ave
$225,000
$240,000
934 N 10th St, Manitowoc934 N 10th St
$220,000
$230,000
124 Elm Ave, Waupun124 Elm Ave
$200,000
$215,000
933 Alabama Ct, Sturgeon Bay933 Alabama Ct
$400,000
$317,500
1413 N Gillett St, Appleton1413 N Gillett St
$310,000
$295,000

*Actual resale prices are green when the property sold above WDP's projected ARV and red when it sold below the projected ARV. WDP ARVs are shown in black.